by Handedness, 2007 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 14, Overall: 14, Team: Atlanta Braves. Miguel Rojas and Chris Taylor will play shortstop for now. BIS found more under-cover evidence of his speed: Heyward only grounded into five double plays in 145 GDP opportunities. Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Jason Heyward CF B/T: L/L 6' 5" 240LBS Age: 33 Draft: 2007 Rd: 1, #14, Atlanta Braves Henry County (GA) HS Player Apps Pitch Highlighter Player Similarity Shifts Swing Take Profile illustrator Zone Swing Profile Player Comparison Transaction History Show Random Video Stats Statcast Standard Splits Game Logs MLB Minors Batting Fielding Visuals Heyward and David Peralta, a pair of veteran left-handed hitters, could see time against right-handed pitchers. But, after falling to a .227/.319/.389 triple-slash and 14 homers in 2011 while bothered by a bum shoulder, Heyward ranks 31st among outfielders (114th overall) in MockDraftCentral.coms latest ADP rankings. While hes never going to be a big stolen base threat, hes a quality athlete for a power forward-sized corner outfielder. Currently, Yahoo! by Handedness, 2007 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 14, Overall: 14, Team: Atlanta Braves. While Heyward is a solid offensive player, he does get a decent portion of his value from defense, which causes some concern about how Heywards value will sustain itself as he ages. The fact that he gets value from non-traditional means is also not a brain buster. Looking solely at defense, these are the types of players who compare with Heyward. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors
Since the end of World War II, there are 42 players to have produced more than Heywards 61.9 defensive runs above average through age-25, and there are 61 players responsible for more offensive runs above average than Heywards 94.5 through his age-25 season. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Nick Frasso, who had a 1.83 ERA and 76 strikeouts in 54 innings last season, was acquired from the Blue Jays in . He clobbered 27 homers when he was 22. That is a major boost for lefty pull hitters like Soto (who hit 38.1 percent of his balls in play to the right field side last season, per Fangraphs). Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
Looking at the numbers from 26 to 30 in each group, it is understandable why Heywards agents would seek an opt-out clause within the first five years. Birthdate: 8/9/1989 (33 y, 6 m, 21 d) Drafted: 2007 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 14, Overall: 14, Team: Atlanta Braves "I've talked . Yeah, if continued this would make him shiftable. Given his decent wheels, it seems highly unlikely that Heyward will continue to keep company with players who run like they have grand pianos strapped to their backs. But, man oh man, do people ever love to talk about Jason Heyward not hitting for enough power. Service Time : Reported as the pre-2022 value. Bothered by a right shoulder injury that has lingered since spring training and pushed him to the DL in late May, Heyward has yet to reach the double digits in home runs and has drawn criticism from Chipper Jones regarding his ability to play through injuries. Simply put, players who dominate the competition at such a young age often end up in Cooperstown, not benched in favor of Jose Constanza. Averaging out to a league average player for a total of ten years is a decent feat. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. He went second to home on a single 82% of the time, which was 16th-best among 131 players. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors
Overall, the group still put up above average numbers offensively. So how did he end up with some of the best non-stolen-base baserunning numbers in the game? Over the last four years, he hasnt had a wRC+ under 110 or over 121, but theres so clearly the potential for so much more than that too few people have come away satisfied. Those are just selective links, but they show Heyward with a right-center approach, and a good amount of batted-ball authority. I dont want to start my first game of Spring Training going 3-0 on a guy or nibbling. What follows is an attempt to find similar players to Heyward using various methods: WAR, offense, defense, and a hybrid of offense and defense. Hes forever been a work in progress, so maybe hed change his focus on a whim. With better luck, health and a little more development, Heyward could be a monster in 2012. De Paula hit .350/.448/.522 with 13 doubles, five home runs, and two triples in 53 games in the Dominican Summer League in his professional debut, and the power was intriguing enough that FanGraphs wasn't alone on an island. Up for debate is precisely how good Jason Heyward has been during his career, and more importantly for whichever teams signs him this winter, how good Heyward will be moving forward. Perhaps its fitting, if random, that Heywards most recent highlights on MLB.com are all home-run-saving catches. A recent graduate of Duquesne University, David Golebiewski is a contributing writer for Fangraphs, The Pittsburgh Sports Report and Baseball Analytics. His work for Inside Edge Scouting Services has appeared on ESPN.com and Yahoo.com, and he was a fantasy baseball columnist for Rotoworld from 2009-2010. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Bill James Just a couple years ago, it was Jason Heyward and Giancarlo Stanton that were tearing up baseball, looking like an unprecedented pair of rookie talents ready to continue on into the stratosphere together. Over the last four years, he hasn't had a wRC+ under 110 or over 121, but there's so clearly the. Heyward, a .211-hitter in 2021 and 2022, made significant swing changes over the winter. In fact, only teammate Michael Bourn managed more defensive value all around from the outfield. It took the Dodgers six games into their Cactus League schedule, but they finally achieved the ultimate spring . Ideally, we could look for players like Jason Heyward who are good offensively and defensively and see how those players performed. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,
Gift a Membership. For a big man, he can run a little While Heyward did fall into some bad habits at the plate last year and has some durability concerns, this is a perfect time to buy low on a youthful outfielder with superstar potential. Obviously, Heyward is nowhere near as good as Rodriguez was then, but the argument for blowing the budget to sign him is a similar one. A year ago, Jason Heyward was a fantasy baseball stud muffin. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. On June 3, Higgins recorded his first major league hit, . Heywards defense and lack of power has the potential to confound, but stripping away the defense, we still see an incredibly valuable player with the potential to maintain or even improve his production. Kiner-Falefa had a slash line of .261/.314/.327 . It doesnt matter that Heyward has still been productive; he looks like he should be a beast of a hitter, so its odd to see him hit singles and doubles. That should tell you all you need to know about the Blue Jays plans for their fourth outfield spot, and this assignment is something he plans to grab with both hands. I used ten-year figures in this analysis, but moving to an eight- or nine-year contract would not significantly change the values, as the bulk of all production is recorded in the early part of the contract. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Unfortunately, for studying purposes anyway, there simply are not enough of those types of players to look at. To me, that looks light, and as a huge Heyward fan I am doing my best in putting that out there without bias. Thats why I want to make sure you understand Im not really concluding anything. As teams expect to get the best production at the beginning of the contract, they understand that a contract will likely underpay the player in the early years and potentially overpay him as he ages with the surplus from the beginning ideally canceling out the loss at the end. But in the previous five years, he had bounced between eight different organizations, unable to find his footing in the majors before an opportunity arose with the Dodgers. The next group of comps considers only offensive production. 12 years and 0 . Reported as the pre-2023 season number of waiver options remaining. Time now for our annual spin through players whose luck in 2022 was worse (or better) than their fortune deserved. The No. With the injury to Gavin Lux, Miguel Rojas and Chris Taylor will see time at shortstop while Jason Heyward and Trayce Thompson will play in center field. Just to be clear, this isnt a matter of Heyward trading fly balls for line drives; his batted ball distribution, including his GB/FB rate, has stayed remarkably steady over the past three seasons, a period that includes his 2012 campaign in which he bashed a career-high 27 home runs. Consider this an expansion on Matt Klaasens crowning of Jason Heyward as the King oF Little Things if you will. But lets diagnose why Atlantas prodigy is turning in a subpar sophomore season. 5 seed Indiana State Sycamores (22-11, 13-7 MVC) in the MVC Tournament Saturday at Enterprise Center, beginning at 3:30 PM on CBS Sports Network. Consequently, his walk rate has dropped from 14.6 percent to 11.1 percent. Looking at the numbers from 26 to 30 in each group, it is. Gallo got the upper hand on the Red Sox in his second inning at-bat, drawing a walk to nullify Boston's shift. Even if Heyward were to hit for more power, that might be offset by a drop in singles, or by an increase in strikeouts. by Retrosheet. Heres why. According to FanGraphs, the 26-year-old was worth 6.0 fWAR (FanGraphs' Wins Above Replacement) in '15the sixth most WAR among outfielders. Sort the leaderboards for UBR or Ultimate BaseRunning, and Heyward floats to the top. Can you imagine what he would have batted if he had been in the Carolina League or the Pac-12 over the past couple of years? Latest News/Blog Posts about Jason Heyward. Heyward is coming off his age-21 season, having just turned 22 this past August. Jason Heyward Positions: Rightfielder, Centerfielder and Leftfielder Bats: Left Throws: Left 6-5 , 240lb (196cm, 108kg) Born: August 9, 1989 (Age: 33-206d) in Ridgewood, NJ us More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 1x All-Star 2016 World Series 5x Gold Glove Wilson Overall Def Player 22 22 22 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. Maybe Heyward just belongs in that 110 120 range of wRC+. This is how it usually works with increases in pulled grounders: Its a consequence of taking a more power-centric approach. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Heyward hasn't shown quite the same level of plate discipline this season, as his rate of swinging at pitches out of the strike zone has increased by about four percentage points (24.2 percent to. Cubs president Jed Hoyer announced Monday the club intends to release veteran outfielder Jason Heyward from the final year of his deal at the end of the 2022 season. He hit 27 home runs in 2012, but recorded just 13 of them this year along with an isolated slugging percentage of .146, essentially league average. . Career statistics and player information from MLB, or ESPN, or Baseball Reference, or Fangraphs, or . We need your support to make FanGraphs sustainable so you can continue to enjoy all of the stats and tools you've come to rely on, like The Leaderboards. Heyward and David Peralta, a pair of veteran left-handed hitters, could see time against right-handed pitchers. Gotta elevate if youre going to be pull-focused. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Heyward is actually the most accomplished offensive player in the group due to being worth more than 20 runs above average on the bases, but strictly as a hitter, these are the players with similar profiles. At an age when most players are chasing a trip to Omaha or cutting their teeth in Low Class-A, Jason Heyward crushed major league pitching in 2010. Support FanGraphs. This group also aged incredibly well. For instance, Heyward, batting primarily in the leadoff spot for the first time in his career, put up a solid .351 OBP, scored 74 runs and stole 20 bases at an impressive 83% success rate, all while batting .271, the second-best mark of his big league tenure. Follow/harass him on Twitter @Karl_de_Vries. Its not surprising. Jason Heyward Los Angeles Dodgers Age: 33 Bats/Throws: L/L 6' 5" / 240 OF Quick Look 2022 Games Played: CF: 26 RF: 21 RotoWire News: Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Tuesday that Heyward. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Phillies (24th, 1.4 WAR) With Bryce Harper undergoing Tommy John surgery and likely to miss the first half of the season, the spotlight is again on Nick Castellanos, whose performance in the first year of his five-year, $100 million deal was downright dreadful. FanGraphs Mugs. Jason Hayward signed an 8-year/$184,000,000 contract with the Chicago Cubs, which includes a $20,000,000 signing bonus, $184,000,000 guaranteed, and an annual average salary of $23,000,000. Mike Trout represented, perhaps, a belief that we could quantify the other aspects of the game and assign them value. Heyward might not be a burner, but he has posted average-ish Speed Scores so far and has rated as an above-average base runner overall. The line was rough from lefty starter Austin Gomber on Tuesday against the Rangers four runs on five hits, including a Clint Frazier home run, while recording two outs. Dodgers 'believe' in Jason Heyward; can swing change revive his career? As can always be said when writing about a small sample: What we have here is something to monitor. Only Al Kaline, Willie Mays, Ken Griffey, Jr., and Alex Rodriguez were within 15 runs on defense and ahead of him on offense. But just looking at how Heyward has hit the ball, there are early signs that hes concentrating on pop. In the *other* MVP debate, Miguel Cabrera represented, perhaps, a belief in the older-school stats, those three fetishized numbers that have been in the newspapers since the games inception. He clearly can the man stands 65. Throw caution to the wind, even. Teams should, and likely do, look at adding years to a contract as spreading out money over a longer time period rather than seeking an extra year of value. I think thats in the ballpark. Dodgers Add Jason Heyward LA signs five-time Gold Glover to a minor league deal with an invite to major league camp via Bleacher Report Jason Heyward Cubs Moving On from Heyward Team. Hes still really young If you can sign him without an opt-out, you might be in the rare position of having an 8- or 10-year megadeal where the player is worth his salary every year. fangraphs.com 1d. Depending on ones point of view, it was an effort that was either an improvement in his development as a still-young hitter or a disturbing blight on his future value. Sadly, the only skill that Heyward hasnt displayed during his bright, brief career is health. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not. And then well see if he wants to stay on the same course. Ellsbury, now 32, has been worth 21 wins since turning 26 while Crawford, 34, has been worth 22 wins over the last eight seasons. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors
by Retrosheet. For the first method, we assume the only information we know is age, WAR, and total number of plate appearances. Heaney then tossed a middle-middle fastball, hoping for an easy strike. When signing long-term contracts, teams tend to pay them out equally over the length of the contract. There are not enough players here to draw conclusions, but it might be worth looking into whether good, young defensive players age better overall as hitters. To isolate players similar to Heyward, I looked for players from 1960 to 2007 within five of Heywards 27.8 WAR and within 20% of his 3429 plate appearances. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. by Handedness, 2007 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 14, Overall: 14, Team: Atlanta Braves. Technically, the entire 1927 Yankees couldnt legally buy a beer, either. Taylor may also appear at third base in Cactus League games. The names brought up most recently with regard to Heyward are Jacoby Ellsbury, who got seven years and $153 million from the New York Yankees two years ago, and Carl Crawford, who received seven years and $142 million from the Boston Red Sox five years ago. The games, as you well know, havent mattered yet. Their average WAR is below. How many hitters (much less 21-year-old hitters) could manage a league-average batting line in the majors while injured and watching so many balls put in play gravitate toward gloves? Heyward, a .211-hitter in 2021 and 2022, made significant swing changes over the winter. Look at Jason Heyward. Heyward remains a tempting upside guy on draft day, but its hard to bid on him too far beyond the price tag of a No. Granted, we cant just assume that Heyward will stay healthy from here on out (he had a thumb injury as a rookie and had some minor hip and shin ailments before that), but those are conservative projections if he does come to camp with a mended shoulder. Jason Heyward LAD OF L Born: 08/09/1989 Age: 33 FanGraphs Player Page Auctions are not allowed at this time On MLB 40-man: NO Acquired: Free Agent (CHC) Dec'22 Positions OF Overall Last 10 All. As expected, their value on defense drops over the next ten years, but a curious thing has happened to their offensive numbers simultaneously. by Retrosheet. Aggravating as it might be, we dont know the answers to those questions. For my ease, I took five-year averages for both WAR and the cost of a win when calculating the total. Quite obviously, Im lukewarm on Heyward, and his upside might merit a few dollars more, but Id need to see him take a step forward before I start paying for him as a frontline fantasy cornerstone. His work has appeared in numerous publications, and he has contributed to the 2014 and 2015 editions of The Hardball Times Annual. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors
Contract: 8 yr, $184M (2016-23) AAV: $23.0M. The numbers may seem outrageous, but MLB revenues have been rising at very high rates, and there is so rarely a player of Heywards caliber and age that the market will likely have a difficult time finding a consensus.
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